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Brokers with CFD Trading CFD also called as contract for difference is supported by many brokers. Binary options. Presentation Transcript Chapter 15 †Arbitrage and Option Pricing Theory Arbitrage forex short position example theory is an alternate to CAPM Option forex short position example theory applies to pricing of contingent claims Both have applications for capital budgeting and financing Both are based on the ppsition pricing principle Arbitrage pricing principle Principle: In an efficient market identical sets of benefits sell at identical prices One way to define the set of benefits is in terms of identical probability distributions forex short position example returns Two ways of creating the same probability distribution of future cash flows should have the same current forex short position example and therefore the same expected return Arbitrage Pricing Theory Foundation for the theory is the arbitrage pricing principle Based on a much less restrictive set of eaxmple than CAPM Arbitrage principle holds Markets are efficient Arbitrage Pricing Theory Standard (Ross) APTE(Rs) Rf [E(R1) - Rf] s,1 [E(R2) - Rf] s,2 … [E(Rn) - Rf] s,n WhereE(Rs) Expected return for an asset E(Ri) Expected return on a portfolio with unitary sensitivity to factor n and zero sensitivity to other factorss,i Beta of the asset with regard to factor i Application of the Ross APT Unitary sensitivity portfolios can be created from publicly available securities Some suggested factors Industrial production or return on the market portfolio Changes in the risk premium between high-grade and lower-grade bonds Slope of the yield curve Application of the Ross APT The difficulty is in identifying factors and economic surrogates for those factors This difficulty has limited application tate-based Arbitrage Analysis of Capital Investments We can replicate the cash flows of the proposed capital investment with publicly traded securities The NPV of the capital investment cost of replicating the cash flows - cost of the capital investment A key advantage is that state-based arbitrage analysis does not require the identification of probabilities Option Pricing Models Option pricing models are also based on the arbitrage pricing principle Option pricing models are based on the fact that options can generally bebined with forex short position example or sale of the underlying asset to create a risk-free investment In equilibrium, the price of the option must be such exampple this risk-free investment pays the risk-free rate of return Option terminology Call option: an option to buy an asset.

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